Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.770698 4.045072 4.337617 4.674110 5.052171 5.465823 5.955393
2025-04-27 3.376706 3.772501 4.222271 4.777109 5.451563 6.256221 7.306830
2025-05-04 3.135696 3.601252 4.154184 4.871628 5.797153 6.979894 8.657459
2025-05-11 2.914468 3.414739 4.028497 4.855892 5.974084 7.485302 9.786299
2025-05-18 2.727180 3.246008 3.899196 4.807608 6.084059 7.894792 10.834385
2025-05-25 2.540939 3.060566 3.727788 4.678451 6.056242 8.089603 11.575065
2025-06-01 2.397261 2.918387 3.599514 4.591683 6.071639 8.339734 12.441863
2025-06-08 2.305709 2.837645 3.545722 4.601264 6.224773 8.817430 13.800046
2025-06-15 2.243336 2.790991 3.533494 4.666736 6.466194 9.468864 15.642023
2025-06-22 2.118983 2.652143 3.382406 4.511841 6.338220 9.465002 16.160640
2025-06-29 2.021015 2.544902 3.269932 4.406590 6.279630 9.574011 16.945963
2025-07-06 1.936708 2.452670 3.173740 4.318878 6.240445 9.710605 17.827324
2025-07-13 1.865411 2.378646 3.104434 4.275379 6.284843 10.036445 19.331187
2025-07-20 1.834535 2.361281 3.118353 4.366803 6.578248 10.910561 22.621002
2025-07-27 1.803497 2.341666 3.127006 4.449297 6.864547 11.828900 26.538809
2025-08-03 1.751487 2.288517 3.080900 4.435607 6.967475 12.366740 29.596803
2025-08-10 1.696721 2.228747 3.021106 4.393545 7.009864 12.773418 32.467184
2025-08-17 1.629710 2.147992 2.924512 4.280881 6.900169 12.795828 33.909346
2025-08-24 1.575097 2.083945 2.851499 4.205071 6.857886 12.980145 36.174517
2025-08-31 1.542053 2.051300 2.826873 4.213446 6.989817 13.638269 41.113148
2025-09-07 1.521100 2.036167 2.829432 4.270651 7.231152 14.647948 48.965308
2025-09-14 1.462395 1.960789 2.730628 4.135224 7.040167 14.407209 49.602082
2025-09-21 1.415226 1.901990 2.657023 4.043019 6.937755 14.410736 51.858276